Aging China’s Growth at Risk, Trade Deals and Political Realities

Demographics Pose Challenge to U.S., China Growth in 2020s

By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group

  • China’s growth could average 3-4% in 2020s as population ages, country matures
  • Size of China’s working-age population set to shrink between 2018 and 2030
  • Number of U.S. retirees will increase from 12% in 1990 to 21% in 2030
  • U.S. growth topping 2.5% over the next two years could be tough to achieve

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